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Analysis of FCS Inc Corporate Bond
An analyst with a mutual fund is considering buying a FCS Inc corporate bond. She has collected the balance sheet information and income statement info for FCS, as shown in Table 1 (values in thousands). Using the funds internal rating system, shown in Table 2, she computes a set of ratios to determine the appropriate risk premium for the bond.
Balance Sheet Current Assets $ 4,735 Fixed Assets $ 43,225 Total Assets $ 47,960 Current Liabilities $ 4,500 Long-term Debt $ 10,000 Total Liabilities $ 14,500 Shareholder Equity $ 33,460 Total Liabilities & Shareholder Equity $ 47,960
Income Statement Revenue $ 18,500 Operating and Admin. Expenses $ 14,050 Operating Income before D&A $ 4,450 Depreciation & Amortization $ 1,675 Interest Expense $ 942 EBT $ 1,833 Taxes $ 641 Net income $ 1,192
Rating Table Bond Rating Interest Coverage Leverage Current Ratio Risk Premium AA 5.0 to 6.0 0.25 to 0.30 1.15 to 1.25 0.30% A 4.0 to 5.0 0.30 to 0.40 1.00 to 1.15 0.50% BBB 3.0 to 4.0 0.40 to 0.50 0.90 to 1.10 1.00% BB 2.0 to 3.0 0.50 to 0.60 0.75 to 0.90 1.25%
In the fund’s internal rating system, the interest coverage is defined as EBITDA divided by interest expense. The leverage is defined as long-term debt divided by book value of equity. The current ratio is defined as current assets divided by current liabilities.
a) Compute the ratios to determine the appropriate bond rating for the FCS Inc bond. The market debt ratio (MDR) is defined as the book value of total debt divided by the sum of the book value of total debt and the market value of equity. Assume that 1/3 of the current liabilities on FCS Inc’s balance sheet are short-term debt. Currently, FCS Inc’s MDR is 0.40. The beta of the company’s stock is 1.20. The bond is currently trading at a risk premium of 55 basis points b) Assuming a risk-free rate of 3.0%, a market risk premium of 6.0%, and a tax rate of 25%, find the weighted average cost of capital. c) FCS Inc has reached the stable growth stage. Its capital expenditures are 1.12x depreciation, and the change in net working capital is zero. Find the implied growth rate for the free cash flow to the firm (FCFF).
Analysis of FCS Inc Corporate Bond
In this analysis, we will compute the necessary financial ratios for FCS Inc. to determine its bond rating, calculate the weighted average cost of capital (WACC), and find the implied growth rate for the free cash flow to the firm (FCFF).
a) Ratio Computation for Bond Rating
Given Financial Data
Balance Sheet (in thousands):
- Current Assets: $4,735
- Fixed Assets: $43,225
- Total Assets: $47,960
- Current Liabilities: $4,500
- Long-term Debt: $10,000
- Total Liabilities: $14,500
- Shareholder Equity: $33,460
Income Statement (in thousands):
- Revenue: $18,500
- Operating and Admin. Expenses: $14,050
- Operating Income before D&A: $4,450
- Depreciation & Amortization: $1,675
- Interest Expense: $942
- EBT: $1,833
- Taxes: $641
- Net Income: $1,192
Ratios Calculation
1. Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR):
[
\text{ICR} = \frac{\text{EBITDA}}{\text{Interest Expense}}
]
- EBITDA = Operating Income + Depreciation & Amortization
- EBITDA = (4,450 + 1,675 = 6,125)
- ICR = (\frac{6,125}{942} \approx 6.50)
2. Leverage Ratio:
[
\text{Leverage} = \frac{\text{Long-term Debt}}{\text{Shareholder Equity}}
]
- Leverage = (\frac{10,000}{33,460} \approx 0.298)
3. Current Ratio:
[
\text{Current Ratio} = \frac{\text{Current Assets}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}
]
- Current Ratio = (\frac{4,735}{4,500} \approx 1.05)
Summary of Ratios
- Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR): 6.50
- Leverage Ratio: 0.298
- Current Ratio: 1.05
Bond Rating Determination
Using the provided rating table:
Bond Rating Interest Coverage Leverage Current Ratio Risk Premium
AA 5.0 to 6.0 0.25 to 0.30 1.15 to 1.25 0.30%
A 4.0 to 5.0 0.30 to 0.40 1.00 to 1.15 0.50%
BBB 3.0 to 4.0 0.40 to 0.50 0.90 to 1.10 1.00%
BB 2.0 to 3.0 0.50 to 0.60 0.75 to 0.90 1.25%
Based on the calculated ratios:
- ICR of 6.50 fits within the AA range.
- Leverage of 0.298 also fits within the AA range.
- Current Ratio of 1.05 is below the AA range but within the A range.
Thus, FCS Inc's bond rating should be classified as AA based on its stronger interest coverage and leverage ratios.
b) Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Calculation
Given Data
- Risk-Free Rate (Rf): 3%
- Market Risk Premium (MRP): 6%
- Beta (β): 1.20
- Tax Rate: 25%
- Market Debt Ratio (MDR): 0.40
Cost of Equity Calculation
Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):
[
\text{Cost of Equity} = R_f + \beta \times (MRP)
]
[
\text{Cost of Equity} = 3% + 1.20 \times 6% = 3% + 7.2% = 10.2%
]
Cost of Debt Calculation
The cost of debt before tax is given by the bond’s risk premium:
[
\text{Cost of Debt} = \text{Risk Premium} + R_f = 0.55% + 3% = 3.55%
]
After tax adjustment:
[
\text{After-tax Cost of Debt} = \text{Cost of Debt} \times (1 - \text{Tax Rate}) = 3.55% \times (1 - 0.25) = 3.55% \times 0.75 = 2.6625%
]
WACC Calculation
Assuming Total Debt and Market Value of Equity can be derived based on MDR:
- Let ( D ) be total debt ($10,000 long-term debt and $1,500 short-term debt) resulting in total debt ( D + E = D / MDR )
- Total Debt = ( D = $14,500 * MDR = $14,500 * 0.40 = $5,800 )
- Equity Value ( E = Total Assets - Total Debt = $47,960 - $10,000 = $33,460 )
Calculating WACC:
[
WACC = \left( \frac{E}{D + E} \times \text{Cost of Equity} \right) + \left( \frac{D}{D + E} \times \text{After-tax Cost of Debt} \right)
]
Where:
- ( D + E = $14,500 + $33,460 = $47,960 )
- ( E / (D + E) = 33,460 / 47,960 \approx 0.6975 )
- ( D / (D + E) = 14,500 / 47,960 \approx 0.3025 )
Substituting values into WACC formula:
[
WACC = (0.6975) \times (10.2%) + (0.3025) \times (2.6625%)
]
Calculating:
[
WACC \approx (0.07115) + (0.00806) = 7.22%
]
c) Implied Growth Rate for Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
Given Information
- Capital Expenditures (CapEx) are (1.12x) Depreciation.
- Change in Net Working Capital is zero.
FCFF Calculation
FCFF can be calculated using the formula:
[
FCFF = EBIT(1 - Tax Rate) + Depreciation - CapEx
]
Where:
- EBIT: (EBT + Interest Expense = $1,833 + $942 = $2,775)
Calculating FCFF:
1. After-tax EBIT:
[
EBIT(1 - Tax Rate) = $2,775(1 - 0.25) = $2,775 * 0.75 = $2,081.25
]
2. CapEx calculation:
- CapEx (= Depreciation * 1.12 = $1,675 * 1.12 = $1,875)
3. Therefore,
[
FCFF = $2,081.25 + $1,675 - $1,875
]
Simplifying,
[
FCFF = $2,081.25 + $1,675 - $1,875 = $1,881.25
]
Implied Growth Rate Calculation
To find the implied growth rate (g), we can use the Gordon Growth Model:
If FCFF is expected to grow at a constant rate post-stability,
Assuming a stable growth rate model:
[
g = Capital Expenditures - Depreciation
]
Since CapEx is based on depreciation,
By setting (g) in terms of depreciation,
We know that growth is tied directly to reinvestment in assets.
Thus,
Assuming stable conditions and long-run growth,
The implied growth rate for FCFF is approximated as consistent with CapEx levels:
Given zero change in working capital and stable reinvestment,
If depreciation rates are consistent over time with reinvestment patterns,
This implies a stable moderate growth rate based on asset management.
Final answer for implied growth rate cannot be precisely calculated without future cash flow projections or market conditions considerations but remains tied directly to capital expenditure rates vs depreciation over the long term.
This comprehensive analysis serves as a guideline for assessing FCS Inc.’s bond rating and investment viability while estimating WACC and growth metrics essential for making informed financial decisions.